{"id":654,"date":"2025-07-21T15:09:03","date_gmt":"2025-07-21T19:09:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.davidhowardpsychologist.com\/blog\/?p=654"},"modified":"2025-07-21T15:09:03","modified_gmt":"2025-07-21T19:09:03","slug":"when-conspiracy-fails","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.davidhowardpsychologist.com\/blog\/?p=654","title":{"rendered":"When Conspiracy Fails"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Fingers crossed for a favourable Wireton Willy prediction. Alas, nobody puts a contract out on the rodent when he\u2019s wrong. A shrug and it\u2019s done \u2014 six more week of winter. I\u2019m guessing Harold Camping\u2019s (Harold who??) end of the world predictions have been off the mark a dozen times or more \u2014 so often in fact that most of us have never packed a single bag in anticipation of same. Prediction, prophecy, far from shaping our day to day plans, is seen more often as a curiosity, the province of some fringe group or other with an esoteric axe to grind or bizarre belief in alien rescues for the select few. More the fodder of sci-fi novels and TV series . . . than anything over which we should really get unduly exercised.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Nevertheless, when the end days expectation failed to materialize on December 21, 1954, ringing down the curtain on all but the chosen ones (The Seekers), the most enduring legacy was not that of yet another weird cult\u2019s demise. It ushered onto the stage one of my favourite psychological dynamics: <i>cognitive dissonance<\/i>.<\/p>\n<p>The concept has been around for some six decades or so, happily living in the wings and not likely finding its way into everyday language \u2014 until recently. Not that we don\u2019t all experience it and find under the radar ways of containing it \u2014 we just didn\u2019t know that it was operating in background, skewing our rationalizations and contorting our behaviour, our choices, our beliefs. The sole contribution of Seekers and Co. then, was to put Leon Festinger into full plain clothes, infiltration mode. Allowing him to study how this sad wee collection of rapturists, standing, bereft on the empty saucer pad, waiting for liftoff, would deal with profound disappointment. No tickee, no washee, no space ship boarding pass, another Christmas dinner spent with earth-bound, boring relatives. The result: <i>When Prophecy Fails<\/i>, Festinger\u2019s definitive opus on how we hold two, conflicting beliefs in mind . . . at the same time.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>And so with the proviso that <i>prophecy<\/i> is not precisely <i>conspiracy<\/i>, we trace another infiltration: the insinuation of \u2018cognitive dissonance\u2019 into quotidian, political language and the <i>sine qua non<\/i> of the GOP. The Josh Hawley\u2019s (he, of the op ed detailing why the Big Beautiful Bill was a travesty \u2014then voting for it), the Marjorie Taylor Green\u2019s (she, of the Jewish space laser villainy in forest fire causality), the Laura Loomer\u2019s, the Steven Miller\u2019s, the RFK jr.\u2019s, and on . . . and on \u2014 have refined and taken the concept to lofty new levels. Going north and south at the same moment \u2014 and fuelling yet another news cycle with dropped jaws and expressions of \u2018they did what\u2019s?\u2019 and \u2018but. . . they said\u2019s\u2019.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>That would be until Jeffrey Epstein did his Lazarus act. So the content that saw the orange TACO elected to a second term and a whole house full (literally) of sycophants dutifully conforming to the party line (again literally), now has hit a wall. That wall being the relentlessly hyped fairy tale that all would be revealed . . . until it wasn\u2019t. (\u2018Nothing to see here. . .\u2019) Willingly forgiving, turning a blind eye to, and rabidly cheering any and all outrageous, self-contradictory \u2018promises\u2019: all the bad guys will be deported, universal peace will be restored, and the world will become affordable again \u2014 the base paused and took a reflective breath. Finally, <i>finally <\/i>the swamp was going to be drained. The curtain pulled back on all the pedophilic wizards, the cabal that has been driving the deep state, named and shamed for all time by Sir Changealot. . . Oopsie, sorry, the guy just hung himself (Jeff, literally; the other guy, \u2018out to dry\u2018), <b><i>the binder is empty.<\/i><\/b><span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>And so the base is attempting to come to grips with the<i> raison d\u2019\u00eatre<\/i> for its unwavering support of DJT. A scramble to reconcile a core belief \u2014 maybe the <i>only<\/i> core belief \u2014 with a null set, a flattened souffl\u00e9, no aliens (or pedophiles here \u2014 well not the predicted ones anyway). . . a <i>betrayal!<\/i><\/p>\n<p>So a word of advice from Leon:<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><i>The most direct way to resolve dissonance is to <\/i><b><i>change the behaviour<\/i><\/b><i> that is causing the conflict.<\/i><\/p>\n<p>But then where would be the entertainment in that?? Maybe just have a look at the current iteration of the \u2018X-Files\u2019 \u2014 formerly known as . . .<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fingers crossed for a favourable Wireton Willy prediction. Alas, nobody puts a contract out on the rodent when he\u2019s wrong. A shrug and it\u2019s done \u2014 six more week of winter. I\u2019m guessing Harold Camping\u2019s (Harold who??) end of the world predictions have been off the mark a dozen times or more \u2014 so often [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.davidhowardpsychologist.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/654"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.davidhowardpsychologist.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.davidhowardpsychologist.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.davidhowardpsychologist.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.davidhowardpsychologist.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=654"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.davidhowardpsychologist.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/654\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":656,"href":"https:\/\/www.davidhowardpsychologist.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/654\/revisions\/656"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.davidhowardpsychologist.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=654"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.davidhowardpsychologist.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=654"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.davidhowardpsychologist.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=654"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}